US President Donald Trump recently “dismissed” Steven Bannon from his job as White House Chief Strategist. Bannon espoused a strong nationalist point of view. Trump was a proponent of bargaining and negotiating. The two were at odds over the US’ China policy.
Boosted by an upturn in his popularity ratings, Japanese PM Shinzo Abe may be aiming for an election in October 2017. Another factor is that the political opposition is in some form of reorganization following the resignation of the Democratic Party leader.
In Trump’s new South Asia policy, India has been asked to do more, while on the other hand, Pakistan has been rebuked for aiding and abetting terrorists by providing safe havens in its territory. Against this backdrop, it is anticipated that these will lead to India’s regional isolation.
The possible rationales for Manila’s diplomatic course of action may be defined according to Duterte’s “independent foreign policy,” which remarkably, coincides with the Philippines’ 2017 ASEAN Chairmanship.
All eyes in the next few months will be on how former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif will play his cards vis-à-vis the Pakistan army. If one were to look beyond the domestic ramifications, the first point which needs to be closely examined is how China has reacted to the instability.
US President Donald Trump wrote: “China is our enemy.” He said China was an enemy because of weak and incompetent US officials that were taken to the cleaners by smart and seasoned Chinese negotiators, and he would fix that and turn China into a friend.
US President Donald Trump unveiled his Afghan policy on August 21, 2017, announcing to ramp up the war effort in Afghanistan. The policy seems to be a compromise between Trump (who wanted complete withdrawal) and his generals (who wanted to ramp up the war effort).
One of the arguments for a coming war is the Thucydides Trap theory. It goes that the situation of a status quo power (Sparta in ancient Greece) and a fast rising power that challenges the former (Athens) creates a condition wherein neither can tolerate the other.