Trump and the South China Sea
Security,Hotspots,China
By Mark J. Valencia - 15 Nov 2016

Trump and the South China Sea

“Make America Great Again” was Trump’s campaign slogan. This probably translates to a Reaganesque “peace through strength” approach. Implementing such a policy in Southeast Asia is likely to be accompanied by blusters, threats and shows of force and gunboat diplomacy.
New Dynamics in ASEAN’s Stance on South China Sea
Security,Hotspots,Southeast Asia

By Henry Hing Lee Chan - 11 Nov 2016

New Dynamics in ASEAN’s Stance on South China Sea

Why the US-China Contest for the South China Sea Is So Dangerous
Security,Hotspots,China

By Mark J. Valencia - 28 Oct 2016

Why the US-China Contest for the South China Sea Is So Dangerous

Elements of a South China Sea Deal: Saving Face and Making Money
Security,Hotspots,China

Elements of a South China Sea Deal: Saving Face and Making Money

Some US academics suggest that a US-China grand bargain to establish a balance of power is a precondition for peace in the South China Sea region. Or, will a legal deal establishing a joint development regime and disengagement from illegal maritime assertions solve most of the current problems?
Conceit and Callowness: Causes of US-Philippines Contretemps
Politics,Hotspots,Southeast Asia

Conceit and Callowness: Causes of US-Philippines Contretemps

In recent weeks, US-Philippines relations have undergone a rough patch as President Duterte has sought to “rebalance” Philippine foreign policy and lessen its dependence on the US. The reaction of policy makers and analysts in the US has ranged from anger to handwringing to ignoring the significance and roots of the problem.
The South China Sea: After the Big Bang
Security,Hotspots,China

The South China Sea: After the Big Bang

It has now been nearly three months since the arbitral panel ruling against China’s claims to maritime space in the South China Sea. The decision has set in motion political and military adjustments. But none of them contribute to the resolution of the conflicting claims or to the contest between the US and China.
Hong Kong: Local Identity and Democratization
Politics,Hotspots,East Asia

Hong Kong: Local Identity and Democratization

Hong Kong’s 2016 Legislative Council election witnessed the success of the localists, including the victory of five young candidates, who advocated the ideas of localism, democracy, and self-determination.  
By Echo Li - 26 Sep 2016 | 0 comments Read more...
Confronting HK Localism with a Unified Social Citizenship
Politics,Hotspots,East Asia

Confronting HK Localism with a Unified Social Citizenship

Confronting localism and separatism, the Central and Hong Kong governments have to compete for the hearts and minds of Hong Kong residents who hold these “radical thoughts.”
By Zhuoyi Wen - 21 Sep 2016 | 0 comments Read more...
Legal Defects of the South China Sea Ruling
Hotspots,China

Legal Defects of the South China Sea Ruling

Legal problems include whether the Philippines had fully communicated with China before initiating the arbitration, whether the tribunal had obeyed the legal principle of prudence, whether the ruling was fair and just, whether it was reasonable to declare that Taiping/Itu Aba Island is rock, etc.
North Korea’s Nuclear Calculus
Security,Hotspots,East Asia

North Korea’s Nuclear Calculus

North Korea knows that the world is unfair, as all the five permanent members on the United Nations Security Council have nuclear weapons, while the rest of the world cannot. Or wait a minute, a few others can also have nuclear weapons. So why can’t North Korea have nukes?
By Dingli Shen - 14 Sep 2016 | 0 comments Read more...
Hong Kong’s 2016 LegCo Election: A Tectonic Shift in HK Politics?
Politics,Hotspots,East Asia

Hong Kong’s 2016 LegCo Election: A Tectonic Shift in HK Politics?

Hong Kong’s Legislative Council Election was held on September 4, 2016, and there were many new and important political features and implications, suggesting that Hong Kong people would like to change the status-quo by having new political forces and young persons to monitor the government.
By Hak Yin Li - 06 Sep 2016 | 0 comments Read more...
The Hague Ruling: Immediate Versus Longer Term Responses
Hotspots,China

The Hague Ruling: Immediate Versus Longer Term Responses

China has apparently decided to play for the longer term, leveraging its strong position on the ground while refraining from raising tension by initiating construction on Scarborough Shoal or declaring an air defense identification zone in the South China Sea.
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