The China-US Maritime “Spying” Debate
Security,Hotspots,China
By Mark J. Valencia - 04 Aug 2017

The China-US Maritime “Spying” Debate

A Chinese incursion in Australia’s EEZ has sparked a debate. Many say China is hypocritical because it is undertaking ISR missions in other countries’ EEZs while opposing those of the US in its own EEZ. But there are differences between what China and the US are doing.  
The ASEAN Security Summits and the South China Sea
Security,Hotspots,Southeast Asia

By Mark J. Valencia - 30 Jul 2017

The ASEAN Security Summits and the South China Sea

Purpose and Necessity of US FONOPs in the South China Sea
Security,Hotspots,Southeast Asia

By Mark J. Valencia - 24 Jul 2017

Purpose and Necessity of US FONOPs in the South China Sea

US FONOPs in the South China Sea: Intent, Effectiveness, and Necessity
Security,Hotspots,Southeast Asia

US FONOPs in the South China Sea: Intent, Effectiveness, and Necessity

US FONOPs in the South China Sea are controversial. Their targeting of China’s “excessive” claims there, their resumption under President Donald Trump, and China’s increasingly strident objections raise questions regarding their intent, effectiveness and necessity.
US FONOPs in the South China Sea: Q&A
Politics,Hotspots

US FONOPs in the South China Sea: Q&A

The first FONOP under the Trump administration occurred in late May 2017, when the USS Dewey made a non-innocent passage within 12 nm of Mischief Reef. It raised questions as to the purpose and effectiveness of US FONOPs in the South China Sea.
Rise of Low-End Urban Terrorism
Politics,Security,Hotspots

Rise of Low-End Urban Terrorism

The recent London Bridge attack underscores two major trends: IS terrorists are targeting civilians in the main Western cities and they are using low-tech methods like vehicle ramming and stabbing.
By Abdul Basit - 20 Jun 2017 | 0 comments Read more...
A Spratlys Environmentally Protected Area?
Environment,Hotspots

A Spratlys Environmentally Protected Area?

Lost amid the recent cacophony of nationalist rhetoric regarding the disputes in the South China Sea have been calls for the claimants to agree to set aside part of the area for environmental preservation. This suggestion is both idealistic and unrealistic.
Qatar and the Crisis in the Middle East
Politics,Hotspots

Qatar and the Crisis in the Middle East

On June 5, 2017, Qatar suddenly suffered diplomatic isolation and economic blockade for its alleged support of terrorism. Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the UAE, Egypt, Yemen, Mauritius, Mauritania, the Maldives, and the eastern government of Libya, have cut ties with Qatar.
Who Will Fire the First Shot in the South China Sea?
Security,Hotspots

Who Will Fire the First Shot in the South China Sea?

China and ASEAN agreed to a framework for the Code of Conduct on the South China Sea in May 2017. Hopefully, after this agreement, none of the claimants or concerned sea-powers would need to fire the first shot.  
Has Trump’s Worldview Become More Discernible?
Politics,Hotspots

Has Trump’s Worldview Become More Discernible?

Judging from Trump’s focus on making deals and building up US military forces to facilitate negotiations, he espouses a realist view of the world. He is not an idealist. He puts little stock in promoting lofty principles.
Trump And The South China Sea: Doing The Right Thing For The Wrong Reasons
Politics,Hotspots

Trump And The South China Sea: Doing The Right Thing For The Wrong Reasons

It appears that Trump has paused criticism and actions against China in exchange for its assistance in dealing with North Korea’s nuclear program. This transactional approach means that his foreign policy is negotiable and not based on principles.  
Implications of Trump’s Flip-Flop on the South China Sea
Politics,Hotspots

Implications of Trump’s Flip-Flop on the South China Sea

US President Donald Trump’s flip-flopping policy regarding China’s claims and actions in the South China Sea have fundamental implications for the security paradigm in the region and perhaps beyond.
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